Dbrown103001
0x5f3c2b63ff49608f2d5dc4fada5faa1a7b7309fa
- Realised P&L
- $-44.66
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $14.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. 76ers · Knicks | 0.510 | 0.480 | $14.54 | −$0.91 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.62 |
| Kings vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.628 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Up | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks · Lakers | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Pistons vs. Thunder · Pistons | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.53 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.72 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets · Warriors | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.45at 0.286Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$7.50at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$6.20at 0.170Lakers vs. Nuggets
- +$5.91at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$5.49at 0.600Suns vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-04 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 04:44 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.51 | $15.45 |
| 10-03 04:43 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $29.78 |
| 10-03 03:46 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $29.78 |
| 05-25 04:29 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.44 | $14.11 |
| 04-25 04:43 | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.29 | $6.66 |
| 04-25 02:57 | Lakers vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.99 | $20.33 |
| 04-24 09:47 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.28 | $5.63 |
| 04-11 00:02 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $0.95 |
| 04-06 01:24 | Lakers vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.21 | $2.00 |
| 04-06 00:30 | Lakers vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.75 | $15.59 |
| 04-04 04:57 | Pelicans vs. Kings | SELL | 0.999 | $2.51 |
| 04-04 04:13 | Pelicans vs. Kings | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $0.96 |
| 04-04 00:56 | Timberwolves vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.91 | $6.23 |