rockdoo
0x5f3ab84d4feaabb3dad08d289be41df0b0b31548
- Realised P&L
- $4.25
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $227.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.080 | 0.135 | $120.66 | +$49.16 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.015 | $69.92 | +$12.55 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.116 | $33.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.015 | $3.75 | +$2.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.865Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:54 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $71.50 |
| 09-18 19:51 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.92 | $74.88 |
| 08-22 21:43 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 08:15 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8599999985 | $70.00 |
| 08-17 08:03 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0123093266 | $57.38 |
| 08-17 08:00 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1399999973 | $40.00 |