PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

betterblock

0x5f29254c67073fce472aa325541a577f08f00d9f

Realised P&L
$117.60
Volume
$50.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$24.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.100$24.51−$5.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners · Over0.1400.000$0.00−$4.90
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.7610.000$0.00−$220.00
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$3.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.39
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$25.00
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$25.25
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$48.60
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 14:57Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.1299999995$25.25
09-20 14:56Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.2599999977$25.00
09-13 18:30Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.120543363$29.55
07-20 17:20Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
07-17 00:07Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersBUY0.14$4.90
07-17 00:06Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999894$20.00
07-17 00:04Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-16 23:59Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.61$19.06
07-16 23:59Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$1.45
07-16 23:59Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$4.58
07-15 14:35Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64$20.00
07-14 17:13Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0276606864$20.00
07-14 17:13Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0545655897$50.00
06-20 21:42Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0262499348$5.42
06-20 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.136$2.11