writtensmoke
0x5f1d2dd97566988e55115be75b352ffef2a6c41d
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $69.70
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$867.98at 0.110Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?
- +$291.70at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 10?
- +$236.88at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?
- +$184.77at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?
- +$175.29at 0.166Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.6696262465 | $35.58 |
| 09-24 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.1599941418 | $26.35 |
| 09-24 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.198715503 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.6699999871 | $11.93 |
| 09-24 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4356823875 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6855998164 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.991 | $89.24 |
| 09-22 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5552250609 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.99 | $47.49 |
| 09-21 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9980506545 | $87.68 |
| 09-21 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.8178917038 | $39.24 |
| 09-21 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5691307402 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.99 |
| 09-20 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.6757790838 | $50.00 |