PolyBot

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Traders

writtensmoke

0x5f1d2dd97566988e55115be75b352ffef2a6c41d

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$71.3k
Markets traded
542
Open portfolio
$69.70

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded542
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24? · Yes0.1990.130$32.71$17.29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? · No0.6700.465$24.71$10.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? · No0.6700.680$12.11+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes0.1600.001$0.08$26.27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? · No0.4360.001$0.06$49.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? · No0.6850.001$0.04$49.96
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$11.93
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 30? · No0.4690.000$0.00$26.91
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 20? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 15? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$30.35
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 29? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$20.22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 2? · No0.6080.000$0.00$31.10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 1? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$9.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1? · No0.8650.000$0.00$6.23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 8? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$20.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 13:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24?BUY0.6696262465$35.58
09-24 13:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?BUY0.1599941418$26.35
09-24 12:04Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24?BUY0.198715503$50.00
09-24 12:04Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24?BUY0.6699999871$11.93
09-24 07:16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.4356823875$50.00
09-24 07:07Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.6855998164$50.00
09-22 16:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.991$89.24
09-22 07:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.5552250609$50.00
09-21 20:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21?SELL0.99$47.49
09-21 17:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.9980506545$87.68
09-21 13:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21?BUY0.6799999978$50.00
09-21 12:04Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21?BUY0.8178917038$39.24
09-21 07:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.5691307402$50.00
09-20 19:32Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 20?SELL0.999$35.99
09-20 13:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20?BUY0.6757790838$50.00