PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Simpsons2026

0x5f145575cb31aa906195799b371b476137f0c52a

Realised P&L
$-111.12
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$885.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · Yes0.7140.785$576.82+$52.24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3790.187$172.70−$177.10
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · No0.8130.697$69.70−$11.60
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.0200.015$66.24−$17.67
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.001$0.02−$0.86
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.001$0.02−$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 20:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3342319513$34.58
10-04 20:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.337$164.86
10-04 20:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.0402583074$4.28
10-04 20:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.043$12.90
10-04 20:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.038$14.17
10-04 20:10Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.0349985581$3.64
10-04 20:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.0257518037$42.33
10-04 04:05Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.075$7.50
10-04 03:53Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.077$4.62
10-04 03:53Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.073$3.65
10-04 03:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36$36.00
10-04 03:15Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0649199198$44.04
10-04 03:14Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?SELL0.66$46.20
10-04 03:13Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0648950384$50.75
10-04 03:11Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?SELL0.67$33.57