0x5f12eee58ab8d27f731e7a86b5b28251cc655255
0x5f12eee58ab8d27f731e7a86b5b28251cc655255
- Realised P&L
- $23.91
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $0.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.155 | $0.78 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.81at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 25?
- +$12.77at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?
- +$12.34at 0.296Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?
- +$10.32at 0.411Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
- +$9.46at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-03 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0845714286 | $2.96 |
| 10-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8799999899 | $7.00 |
| 09-30 15:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8084506925 | $7.00 |
| 09-29 15:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 10:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.00 |
| 09-26 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.95 |
| 09-25 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4199999916 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.981999998 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3992099066 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-19 16:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |