0x5f09c154059ce6a1c48112b974af6f0e069ea55d
- Realised P&L
- $-66.27
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.10 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.075 | $0.28 | +$0.02 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
| Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? · No | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.09 |
| Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.94at 0.371Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$0.93at 0.867Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
- +$0.42at 0.516Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
- +$0.35at 0.905Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
- +$0.26at 0.433Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 14:17 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.31 |
| 08-19 14:17 | Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.09 |
| 08-19 14:17 | Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.78 |
| 08-19 14:17 | Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.39 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.918 | $18.09 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Pro Football: Will Diego Pavia be rostered by Week 1? | SELL | 0.03625 | $0.72 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.62 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.35 | $11.34 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB? | SELL | 0.911 | $33.62 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.8536661662 | $34.11 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.539 | $21.55 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.905 | $36.20 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.80 |