PolyBot

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Traders

alex4kiss

0x5f09282787edebd2e9d2121c69381883957a6a0f

Realised P&L
$238.44
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$108.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · Yes0.6000.650$108.33+$8.33
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$97.01
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.4620.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · JD Gaming0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.5999999988$100.00
10-08 11:57Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?SELL0.77$105.79
10-07 14:45Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?BUY0.7278165498$100.00
10-05 08:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.8$105.26
10-03 05:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.7599999964$100.00
09-10 16:04Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.8495052206$100.89
09-10 16:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.6381894983$100.00
09-10 12:37Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.4272174943$57.73
08-14 13:01Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
08-12 14:50Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.6906705488$39.14
08-08 15:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.83$52.70
08-03 16:32Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.6704478811$38.00
07-29 17:59Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.7944628717$106.35
07-28 03:18Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.7469999994$100.00
07-26 11:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6299999483$10.00