alex4kiss
0x5f09282787edebd2e9d2121c69381883957a6a0f
- Realised P&L
- $238.44
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $108.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.10at 0.600Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
- +$47.53at 0.666Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
- +$44.00at 0.696Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.37at 0.475Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$36.99at 0.797Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 11:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | SELL | 0.77 | $105.79 |
| 10-07 14:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | BUY | 0.7278165498 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 08:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | SELL | 0.8 | $105.26 |
| 10-03 05:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 16:04 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8495052206 | $100.89 |
| 09-10 16:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.6381894983 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 12:37 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.4272174943 | $57.73 |
| 08-14 13:01 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 14:50 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.6906705488 | $39.14 |
| 08-08 15:03 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $52.70 |
| 08-03 16:32 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.6704478811 | $38.00 |
| 07-29 17:59 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.7944628717 | $106.35 |
| 07-28 03:18 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7469999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 11:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |