MossyCobble
0x5f05eba1dd4fd88c2ec7ae6e630a48e6124364e5
- Realised P&L
- $-697.36
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $190.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.10at 0.062Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?
- +$34.74at 0.316Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$30.78at 0.397Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
- +$25.80at 0.103Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$25.28at 0.507Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.26 |
| 09-30 21:09 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 02:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-28 02:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 09-26 22:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 09-26 20:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 09-26 15:02 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-26 12:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.44 |
| 09-25 22:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.088 | $4.40 |
| 09-25 18:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $14.40 |
| 09-25 17:21 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.70 |
| 09-25 16:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.90 |
| 09-25 14:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.103 | $5.15 |
| 09-25 13:44 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.959 | $45.07 |