PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MossyCobble

0x5f05eba1dd4fd88c2ec7ae6e630a48e6124364e5

Realised P&L
$-697.36
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$190.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9340.955$115.17+$2.45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.4790.385$19.25−$4.70
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6700.365$18.25−$15.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2700.295$11.21+$0.95
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.6900.875$9.72+$2.06
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0440.048$9.50+$0.60
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0510.074$7.40+$2.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1400.000$0.00−$3.77
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.36
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.04
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$6.57
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.51
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.51
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:17Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.27$10.26
09-30 21:09Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.24$12.00
09-29 02:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.004$0.40
09-28 02:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-26 22:55Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.056$2.80
09-26 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.053$2.65
09-26 20:40Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.053$2.65
09-26 15:02Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.22$11.00
09-26 12:38Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.06$1.44
09-25 22:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.088$4.40
09-25 18:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.36$14.40
09-25 17:21Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.054$2.70
09-25 16:33Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.018$0.90
09-25 14:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.103$5.15
09-25 13:44Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.959$45.07