PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nimbus3000

0x5f05432fd0016ee15ebb1bd0b814bf1bca8f9b05

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$63.2k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$18.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? · Yes0.0960.360$10.80+$7.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? · Yes0.1000.105$4.22+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27? · Yes0.0580.070$2.80+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 27? · Yes0.0580.002$0.08−$3.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 26? · Yes0.0530.001$0.06−$6.70
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 27? · Yes0.0580.001$0.03−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 27? · Yes0.0580.001$0.03−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on September 27? · Yes0.0580.001$0.03−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.0580.001$0.03−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 26? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on September 26? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on September 26? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on September 26? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? · Yes0.0830.001$0.01−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:58Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?SELL0.003$0.16
09-26 15:58Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.1$4.02
09-26 15:56Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?SELL0.12$1.56
09-26 15:56Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.38$2.82
09-26 15:22Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.3899999319$1.66
09-26 15:22Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.004$0.01
09-26 15:22Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?SELL0.4$1.48
09-26 15:22Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.08$0.30
09-26 15:17Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.005$0.06
09-26 15:17Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.08$1.00
09-26 15:15Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?BUY0.59$6.87
09-26 15:12Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.63$6.30
09-26 15:11Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.62$3.10
09-26 15:09Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.6199999457$2.97
09-26 15:07Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.08$2.94