Nimbus3000
0x5f05432fd0016ee15ebb1bd0b814bf1bca8f9b05
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $63.2k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $18.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.89at 0.508Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?
- +$254.67at 0.206Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
- +$130.33at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?
- +$101.53at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?
- +$96.99at 0.445Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on May 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.16 |
| 09-26 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.02 |
| 09-26 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 09-26 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.82 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999319 | $1.66 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.48 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.30 |
| 09-26 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.06 |
| 09-26 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.59 | $6.87 |
| 09-26 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-26 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-26 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.6199999457 | $2.97 |
| 09-26 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.94 |