AlexPolimarket
0x5ef08b00148a90f343046374dbc0c88e0186d45b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.40
- Volume
- $61.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,013
- Open portfolio
- $5.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,013
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.73at 0.401Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$89.00at 0.101Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$81.25at 0.073Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
- +$80.74at 0.377Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$70.21at 0.223Golden Knights vs. Kraken
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 08-04 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 22:07 | Solana Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 16:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.28 |
| 08-01 16:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-01 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.10 |
| 07-31 18:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.57 |
| 07-31 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.63 |
| 07-31 07:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.76 |
| 07-31 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $7.06 |
| 07-30 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.11 |
| 07-30 16:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.10 |
| 07-30 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.08 |
| 07-29 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.09 |