AmyMiller2667
0x5ef0577c529680fbeb26fb54527e8288745ac84a
- Realised P&L
- $-591.02
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $171.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.980 | 0.978 | $160.31 | −$0.41 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.110 | $8.91 | −$59.94 |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.029 | $2.09 | −$12.25 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.03 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.68 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.74 |
| Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No | 0.841 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.68at 0.876Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
- +$46.56at 0.380Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
- +$29.25at 0.230Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
- +$26.28at 0.490Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
- +$21.39at 0.759Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 06:05 | Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.76 | $120.84 |
| 01-11 06:04 | Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.76 | $60.04 |
| 01-09 15:25 | Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.841 | $204.36 |
| 01-09 14:09 | Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.76 | $206.72 |
| 01-09 10:36 | Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | BUY | 0.78 | $212.16 |
| 01-09 10:09 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.33 | $142.23 |
| 01-09 04:52 | Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $6.63 |
| 01-09 04:50 | Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $127.92 |
| 01-09 04:49 | Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $63.08 |
| 01-09 02:30 | Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $301.49 |
| 01-09 02:18 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $142.23 |
| 01-08 22:07 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.75 | $171.75 |
| 01-08 21:49 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $339.72 |
| 01-08 20:48 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $513.76 |
| 01-08 20:20 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $169.36 |