mebtaylor
0x5ef0175dbbbc93f7ab86f7a3c24ae19b9c9a5cf1
- Realised P&L
- $4.15
- Volume
- $58.47
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.400 | $3.43 | +$0.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.545 | $3.24 | +$0.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.405 | $2.76 | −$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.435 | $2.65 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.87at 0.492Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2899999965 | $2.49 |
| 09-25 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.55 |
| 09-25 05:50 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.87 | $9.06 |
| 09-24 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $2.50 |
| 09-24 18:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $2.50 |
| 09-24 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |