j8088
0x5eebdbb0198aa15c6ec3a12d21c3d725fedae090
- Realised P&L
- $10.50
- Volume
- $39.1k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $36.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.921 | 0.917 | $36.68 | −$0.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.821Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?
- +$0.56at 0.626Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.45at 0.986Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.45at 0.981Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10?
- +$0.37at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $36.84 |
| 09-20 03:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.89 |
| 09-19 03:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $36.78 |
| 09-18 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $36.78 |
| 09-18 03:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.85 |
| 09-16 03:17 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.64 |
| 09-15 15:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.64 |
| 09-14 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.90 |
| 09-14 03:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.993 | $34.76 |
| 09-14 03:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-13 14:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.985 | $34.48 |
| 09-10 14:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $34.62 |
| 09-08 15:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8? | BUY | 0.81 | $23.49 |
| 09-07 15:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.88 |
| 09-06 15:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $25.08 |