grassminefield
0x5eeb6cc40831189c18aeff16e7accb24585e43ec
- Realised P&L
- $12.03
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $172.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $55.80 | +$0.08 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.946 | $52.95 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat? · No | 0.982 | 0.978 | $33.25 | −$0.14 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $30.00 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.29at 0.978100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
- +$2.15at 0.957Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.29at 0.940StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$1.19at 0.961Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
- +$1.00at 0.940Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 11:43 | Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.929999986 | $20.53 |