wangzhe77
0x5eea0530ac71e0c09b4e6aee1bdb192607bae02c
- Realised P&L
- $67.59
- Volume
- $135.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $462.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.842 | 0.945 | $245.70 | +$26.70 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.977 | $180.83 | +$19.72 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.812 | 0.775 | $35.52 | −$1.67 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.76 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.54at 0.792Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$20.67at 0.005Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$11.76at 0.900Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
- +$10.44at 0.939Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
- +$7.68at 0.903Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 03:29 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.812 | $37.19 |
| 07-31 03:28 | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $47.88 |
| 07-31 03:28 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 07-31 03:27 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $22.00 |
| 06-13 08:04 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $44.00 |
| 06-13 08:02 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $49.93 |
| 06-13 08:02 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $161.11 |
| 05-29 14:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $272.60 |
| 04-01 16:34 | Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.002 | $19.32 |
| 03-29 02:17 | Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.003 | $28.98 |
| 03-29 02:16 | Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.85 |
| 03-29 02:15 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $64.88 |
| 03-29 02:15 | Trump out as President by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.78 |
| 02-28 10:10 | Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 01-28 11:14 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $51.00 |