PolyBot

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Traders

Alex333-833

0x5ee08de9a07e4d98a127bf1920de676342993e49

Realised P&L
$-16.43
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.029$0.79$0.21
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.0490.035$0.72$0.28
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 20:07Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.0490677134$1.00
07-05 19:49Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
07-05 19:40Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0090000001$1.30
07-05 19:38Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.001$1.00
05-07 09:33Doge ETF approved by July 31?SELL0.2$0.19
12-18 17:58Will Berachain launch a token in December?BUY0.059999946$1.00
12-10 22:03MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? BUY0.005$4.00
12-10 21:06MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? BUY0.004$4.20
12-10 18:23MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? BUY0.003$0.80
12-05 12:22Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?BUY0.025$3.00
12-05 12:13Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?BUY0.022999978$1.00
12-05 12:10Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?BUY0.0849992647$0.10
12-05 12:10Will Kraken IPO in 2024?BUY0.0209997978$0.10
12-05 12:05Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?BUY0.05$0.10
12-02 21:33Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?BUY0.0209997978$0.10