professionallybadwithmoney
0x5edc9796924ca1eba7493000db3d3e6a0c5d7404
- Realised P&L
- $-10.78
- Volume
- $898.53
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $85.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.653 | 0.655 | $50.10 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.500 | $35.14 | −$9.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.68at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?
- +$1.25at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6417597978 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6514385353 | $14.94 |
| 09-23 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7780238148 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 02:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 02:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.63840399 | $20.00 |