0x5ed9D18d2c030C12a13222ae519D5493E7d028a4-1773431460792
0x5ed9d18d2c030c12a13222ae519d5493e7d028a4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.03
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $19.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $19.91 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.21at 0.994Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
- +$0.24at 0.983Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 3?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-06 07:14 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.06 |
| 06-29 07:16 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 06:43 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.24 |
| 05-15 08:21 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-11 04:17 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.18 |
| 04-15 05:30 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.01 |
| 04-11 05:41 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.52 |
| 04-09 09:01 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.79 |
| 04-02 08:26 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $9.68 |
| 04-02 08:25 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.68 |