PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5ed9D18d2c030C12a13222ae519D5493E7d028a4-1773431460792

0x5ed9d18d2c030c12a13222ae519d5493e7d028a4

Realised P&L
$-3.03
Volume
$29.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$19.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No0.9990.996$19.91−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30?BUY0.999$19.98
07-06 07:14Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$6.06
06-29 07:16Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 06:43Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.24
05-15 08:21Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.48
05-11 04:17Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$9.18
04-15 05:30Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011$10.01
04-11 05:41Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.52
04-09 09:01Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011$9.79
04-02 08:26Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$9.68
04-02 08:25Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.68