AteACracker
0x5ed7459ffac6a496afe1cfe9d371977ae2f57d71
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $93.4k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $163.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February? · No | 0.413 | 1.000 | $162.33 | +$95.19 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.029 | $1.41 | −$3.49 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.38at 0.195Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
- +$291.98at 0.015Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?
- +$118.00at 0.410Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$103.65at 0.162Will Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$92.86at 0.350Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 23:35 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0993481181 | $4.90 |
| 02-08 23:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.90 |
| 01-31 21:48 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February? | BUY | 0.4135936364 | $67.14 |
| 01-31 21:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.03 | $21.00 |
| 01-31 21:44 | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BUY | 0.3275195682 | $25.00 |
| 01-31 21:44 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 01-31 21:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | SELL | 0.1031251303 | $24.72 |
| 01-31 18:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | SELL | 0.999 | $102.00 |
| 01-31 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1576673618 | $37.80 |
| 01-31 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0979431929 | $10.00 |
| 01-31 12:20 | Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | SELL | 0.3200117035 | $49.22 |
| 01-31 12:03 | Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | BUY | 0.3472691808 | $53.41 |
| 01-31 12:00 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $53.41 |
| 01-21 19:59 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $71.21 |
| 01-21 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |