0x5ED13cC8AA630FDB6C070E0a1cab62786aA9cC85-1740157979478
0x5ed13cc8aa630fdb6c070e0a1cab62786aa9cc85
- Realised P&L
- $182.91
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $307.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.46at 0.325Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
- +$143.90at 0.410Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$93.16at 0.518Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?
- +$87.93at 0.496Will the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
- +$72.01at 0.327Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:10 | Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.41 |
| 10-06 18:13 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 17:45 | Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 21:14 | Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:43 | Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 17:55 | Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 14:17 | Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:53 | Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 19:54 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.4158415677 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:42 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 19:40 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 19:34 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 15:14 | Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 19:32 | Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:39 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |