0x5ecE461946D41C4b6ee790FDf05f33caA386E910-1772907872094
0x5ece461946d41c4b6ee790fdf05f33caa386e910
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $54.2k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.541 | $11.9k | +$5.6k |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.230 | $537.28 | +$318.94 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 05:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.082953892 | $4.75 |
| 09-02 04:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3976848729 | $937.72 |
| 08-28 00:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.24 |
| 08-28 00:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.361236413 | $930.00 |
| 08-24 20:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0669719972 | $9.61 |
| 08-21 15:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0915844481 | $5.51 |
| 08-21 15:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3289999999 | $934.49 |
| 08-14 17:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0954019634 | $5.97 |
| 08-14 17:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2789999999 | $917.43 |
| 08-04 02:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0977710082 | $4.27 |
| 08-04 01:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2733856617 | $672.13 |
| 08-04 01:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0951090846 | $178.00 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2331769703 | $13.18 |
| 06-29 16:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2284852828 | $1.9k |
| 06-29 16:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2328273669 | $22.93 |