0x5ecc03e35a376b8342a593977753af2b3eba375f
0x5ecc03e35a376b8342a593977753af2b3eba375f
- Realised P&L
- $4.09
- Volume
- $48.53
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.600 | $4.03 | −$0.20 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.365 | $1.61 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.99at 0.645Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?
- +$-0.12at 1.009Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?
- +$-0.14at 0.678Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:53 | Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6299999732 | $4.23 |
| 10-20 09:25 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.58 |
| 10-20 09:00 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.23 |
| 10-20 04:05 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.20 |
| 10-19 12:13 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.23 |
| 10-18 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.6228973837 | $8.77 |
| 10-18 12:53 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.97 |
| 10-18 12:53 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |