266c
0x5ec3f8ca4e56ad68941e036ba396638c77572815
- Realised P&L
- $-538.07
- Volume
- $123.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $120.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $50.44 | −$84.00 |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $30.48 | −$0.02 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Bilibili Gaming | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.72at 0.460Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$98.71at 0.657Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi
- +$89.54at 0.527Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
- +$82.38at 0.527Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
- +$46.91at 0.680LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989991845 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9979995898 | $1.81 |
| 09-11 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989994517 | $1.29 |
| 09-11 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.47 |
| 09-11 14:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.60 |
| 09-04 02:43 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.80 |
| 09-04 02:43 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.80 |
| 09-04 02:42 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 09-04 02:42 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 09-04 02:41 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 09-04 02:41 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:41 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:40 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:40 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:39 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |