PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

266c

0x5ec3f8ca4e56ad68941e036ba396638c77572815

Realised P&L
$-538.07
Volume
$123.6k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$120.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$50.44−$84.00
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9990.999$30.48−$0.02
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9991.000$10.00+$0.00
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9991.000$10.00+$0.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9991.000$10.00+$0.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9991.000$10.00+$0.00
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Bilibili Gaming0.5600.000$0.00−$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 14:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11?BUY0.9989991845$1.10
09-11 14:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 11?BUY0.9979995898$1.81
09-11 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.9989994517$1.29
09-11 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?BUY0.999$2.47
09-11 14:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?BUY0.999$0.60
09-04 02:43Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$8.80
09-04 02:43Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$8.80
09-04 02:42Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$10.10
09-04 02:42Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$10.10
09-04 02:41Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$10.10
09-04 02:41Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$10.00
09-04 02:41Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$10.00
09-04 02:40Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$10.00
09-04 02:40Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$10.00
09-04 02:39Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$0.03