0x5Ec371C6c5210513F1b9F4B320d198A21858f154-1729908801879
0x5ec371c6c5210513f1b9f4b320d198a21858f154
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $71.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.040 | $1.3k | −$1.2k |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.065 | $3.57 | −$7.35 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$664.96 |
| Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.32 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$327.06 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-268.94at 0.220Trump wins a solid blue state?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 04:17 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0674329139 | $19.99 |
| 05-28 18:57 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0920186284 | $34.58 |
| 05-15 12:41 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0870458203 | $134.58 |
| 05-14 09:08 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.089047619 | $93.50 |
| 05-08 00:36 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.069246063 | $70.35 |
| 05-07 23:17 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 05-07 23:16 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0677129406 | $45.38 |
| 05-07 19:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0714485111 | $86.83 |
| 05-03 12:30 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0790562591 | $6.49 |
| 05-03 12:30 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0787344135 | $248.91 |
| 05-03 07:30 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0745766278 | $52.85 |
| 05-03 07:29 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $12.03 |
| 12-01 05:59 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1180434202 | $23.87 |
| 11-27 22:19 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2951722354 | $57.07 |
| 11-26 08:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.208565238 | $35.13 |