0x5ec1372c0a7310cf1927112a063619380812a156
0x5ec1372c0a7310cf1927112a063619380812a156
- Realised P&L
- $-3.20
- Volume
- $584.49
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $3.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.370 | $1.76 | +$0.76 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.590 | 0.645 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.605 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.30at 0.306Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.235Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:46 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:19 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:13 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 00:46 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:12 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:45 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:05 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2709999927 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |