PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

arbandy

0x5eb0cd907aa0b7b4df11552e817570e265ea5012

Realised P&L
$-151.5k
Volume
$15.51M
Markets traded
833
Open portfolio
$36.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded833
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · No0.5540.575$4.5k+$160.10
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2300.234$4.3k+$76.92
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.7340.716$4.0k$106.29
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.4170.604$4.0k+$1.2k
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.3820.360$3.6k$218.94
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.7180.710$2.2k$25.29
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? · No0.3580.190$2.0k$1.8k
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2330.305$2.0k+$459.30
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0850.230$1.9k+$1.2k
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.4900.755$1.8k+$620.28
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1580.185$1.7k+$250.40
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.8050.905$1.5k+$169.70
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · No0.4280.240$1.5k$1.1k
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7680.815$977.33+$55.66
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.8270.895$274.96+$20.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:35Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7212020416$251.51
09-15 15:15Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.619$141.64
09-15 15:11Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?BUY0.2849851207$103.43
09-15 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.047$0.03
09-15 00:01Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8$246.21
09-14 23:48Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.6001126126$266.45
09-14 23:47Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?SELL0.8076426659$531.01
09-14 23:46Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.8183875985$157.85
09-14 23:46Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.2494549534$266.25
09-12 22:41Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0742381044$416.36
09-12 22:25Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1965242302$328.61
09-12 22:22Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.7708688745$441.09
09-12 22:18Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1548814569$495.90
09-12 22:15SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.79$179.80
09-12 22:11No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.447$2.23