Szarymowiar
0x5eaef43b78980279b6811d98684b68dd322aea4a
- Realised P&L
- $115.25
- Volume
- $267.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $39.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.980 | 0.987 | $9.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.968 | 0.970 | $7.79 | +$0.02 |
| Will Matt Duchene record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? · No | 0.992 | 0.986 | $6.55 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? · Yes | 0.980 | 1.000 | $5.63 | +$0.11 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.885 | $5.45 | −$0.34 |
| Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.978 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · No | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-09? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$376.58at 0.298Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?
- +$190.48at 0.840Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-13?
- +$49.45at 0.910Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-13?
- +$27.21at 0.896UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)
- +$23.76at 0.940Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.52 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.9399999935 | $5.79 |
| 10-25 20:21 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.52 |
| 10-13 07:39 | Will Matt Duchene record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.59 |
| 10-13 07:38 | Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.967999997 | $7.77 |
| 10-04 21:01 | Spread: Panthers (-17.5) | BUY | 0.9889999992 | $6.17 |
| 10-04 20:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.24 |
| 07-13 19:33 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999982 | $5.25 |
| 07-05 19:46 | Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.981999934 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 19:45 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.91 |
| 05-22 18:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 18:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.728999998 | $15.00 |
| 03-20 12:53 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9769999996 | $8.78 |
| 03-12 18:50 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.00 |
| 12-01 16:26 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9709999994 | $22.00 |