soysation
0x5eaea48dc998222d5cefde92813c7e3bdc16a704
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $267.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $140.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys | 0.590 | 0.470 | $95.59 | −$24.41 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) · Cowboys | 0.385 | 0.220 | $45.14 | −$33.86 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$585.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) · Spurs | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.99 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.114Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.7kat 0.040Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$306.90at 0.587Knicks vs. Hawks
- +$177.79at 0.553Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5
- +$175.58at 0.337Celtics vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:17 | Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) | BUY | 0.3899999983 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 02:16 | Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $39.00 |
| 10-08 02:13 | Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5899999986 | $120.00 |
| 10-06 02:25 | 2H Spread: Saints (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 01:42 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1901049933 | $2.1k |
| 05-23 03:12 | Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4486345902 | $660.00 |
| 05-23 02:54 | Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4191616765 | $500.00 |
| 05-23 02:54 | Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4295790123 | $500.00 |
| 05-22 23:58 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5699999999 | $1.7k |
| 05-19 09:09 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0440196804 | $478.37 |
| 05-19 09:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.3612639828 | $3.0k |
| 05-03 16:46 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0899587176 | $184.00 |
| 05-03 16:45 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0368082446 | $400.00 |
| 05-03 01:07 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0455110715 | $130.00 |
| 05-01 15:59 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0093050449 | $190.00 |