PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5ea3Bc905112010dCb3c17678ab9c7441D4a78bF-1771783907784

0x5ea3bc905112010dcb3c17678ab9c7441d4a78bf

Realised P&L
$-213.34
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
628
Open portfolio
$384.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded628
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0710.100$198.51+$55.99
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3400.285$83.82−$16.18
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0770.041$34.74−$30.26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.255$27.08−$2.65
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2800.235$24.62−$4.72
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.115$15.73−$3.42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$51.62
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.0820.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$49.41
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$20.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4170.000$0.00−$47.00
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco0.2220.000$0.00−$23.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 18:05Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3399999989$100.00
10-08 14:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0714351152$142.52
10-06 18:302026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2799999981$29.34
10-04 09:54Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1399999993$19.15
10-04 09:53Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2799999985$29.73
07-19 19:04Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.0823845495$19.00
07-19 19:02Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4174999959$47.00
07-19 11:56Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0349999993$50.00
07-09 20:09France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2224999936$23.00
07-04 16:49Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.2699999978$74.38
06-28 20:32Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1029999963$24.33
06-23 09:26Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1239999961$27.29
06-23 09:10Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$8.16
05-29 14:20Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.007$28.56
05-27 17:36Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999996$49.41