0x5ea3Bc905112010dCb3c17678ab9c7441D4a78bF-1771783907784
0x5ea3bc905112010dcb3c17678ab9c7441d4a78bf
- Realised P&L
- $-131.42
- Volume
- $31.8k
- Markets traded
- 623
- Open portfolio
- $24.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded623
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.029 | $24.57 | −$40.43 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.62 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.41 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.37 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco | 0.222 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.47at 0.276Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$175.36at 0.235Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
- +$54.80at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$44.92at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$43.52at 0.331Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:04 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0823845495 | $19.00 |
| 07-19 19:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4174999959 | $47.00 |
| 07-19 11:56 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0349999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 20:09 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2224999936 | $23.00 |
| 07-04 16:49 | Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $74.38 |
| 06-28 20:32 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999963 | $24.33 |
| 06-23 09:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1239999961 | $27.29 |
| 06-23 09:10 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $8.16 |
| 05-29 14:20 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $28.56 |
| 05-27 17:36 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999996 | $49.41 |
| 05-26 11:02 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999983 | $20.37 |
| 05-19 19:34 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 19:34 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $128.72 |
| 05-13 18:59 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0767121752 | $65.00 |
| 05-13 12:54 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0640717451 | $71.13 |