pleaseplease123
0x5e9458202b5817a72cf81105ec8a30e6f3705ba1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.20M
- Volume
- $78.39M
- Markets traded
- 716
- Open portfolio
- $304.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded716
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.537 | 0.545 | $117.6k | +$1.8k |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.515 | $107.3k | −$1.0k |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.550 | 0.345 | $69.0k | −$41.0k |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.245 | $8.1k | −$9.1k |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.530 | 1.000 | $2.5k | +$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.5kat 0.331Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$122.2kat 0.450New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
- +$122.0kat 0.451Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
- +$121.8kat 0.330Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$118.8kat 0.360Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:41 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $14.1k |
| 09-22 22:35 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $75.0k |
| 09-22 21:53 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $27.0k |
| 09-22 21:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.55 | $2.1k |
| 09-22 21:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.55 | $76.6k |
| 09-22 21:22 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 09-22 21:04 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $242.21 |
| 09-22 20:18 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 14:27 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5278578812 | $6.5k |
| 09-22 13:56 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.5k |
| 09-21 19:23 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $8.3k |
| 09-20 20:00 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $40.0k |
| 09-20 17:34 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.49 | $29.5k |
| 09-20 17:34 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.49 | $9.4k |
| 09-20 17:25 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $54.6k |