xfwre99
0x5e939ecaea8637ede4526548910e32293197ed7b
- Realised P&L
- $38.92
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $6.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.91at 0.630Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.37at 0.427Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
- +$4.53at 0.320Maple Leafs vs. Wild
- +$4.49at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$4.24at 0.700Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:51 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.256 | $4.78 |
| 09-03 08:08 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 16:29 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:33 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299994413 | $1.06 |
| 08-23 12:28 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699998766 | $1.94 |
| 07-03 12:42 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099998992 | $2.03 |
| 06-23 16:48 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4099998712 | $1.21 |
| 06-23 12:45 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999458 | $2.07 |
| 06-20 15:07 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.3599999406 | $1.94 |
| 05-24 12:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0090105611 | $0.82 |
| 05-24 12:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 12:05 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | SELL | 0.958 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 12:04 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.9589997996 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 13:00 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.5699999121 | $2.27 |