PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xfwre99

0x5e939ecaea8637ede4526548910e32293197ed7b

Realised P&L
$38.92
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$6.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2560.246$4.59−$0.19
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.530$1.63−$0.37
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.385$0.62−$0.38
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$2.07
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.21
Stars vs. Wild · Stars0.5600.000$0.00−$2.44
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.7300.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$1.22
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.3340.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.03
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$2.17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$1.68
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$1.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 12:51Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.256$4.78
09-03 08:08Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
09-02 16:29Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-29 22:33Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6299994413$1.06
08-23 12:28Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-03 08:55US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5699998766$1.94
07-03 12:42Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099998992$2.03
06-23 16:48Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.4099998712$1.21
06-23 12:45Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999458$2.07
06-20 15:07Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.3599999406$1.94
05-24 12:41Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.0090105611$0.82
05-24 12:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
05-24 12:05Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?SELL0.958$1.00
05-24 12:04Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?BUY0.9589997996$1.00
05-19 13:00Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.5699999121$2.27