PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5e8f70f06e54b08679708fa64a0f5633c55dec9a

Realised P&L
$-1.51
Volume
$429.00
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$80.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.5710.955$43.91+$17.65
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5000.696$8.35+$2.35
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7800.835$8.35+$0.55
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8000.935$7.48+$1.08
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2240.165$7.42$2.63
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.4050.045$2.14$16.90
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.0900.125$1.50+$0.42
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1240.055$0.99$1.25
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0710.035$0.52$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 18:15Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.09$1.08
06-17 23:22Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.12$1.20
06-12 16:47Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.13$1.04
04-22 14:26U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.8$6.40
04-22 14:26Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$4.65
04-22 14:26Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.071$1.06
04-19 17:11Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.5$6.00
04-19 17:11Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.501$4.01
04-19 17:11Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.907$7.26
04-19 17:11Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.094$1.03
04-16 10:42Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.44
04-16 10:41Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.22$6.38
04-14 07:16Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$7.80
04-14 07:16Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$3.68
03-26 16:52U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.47$2.35