xzbywfyjrjjkk
0x5e8dc896087c53dec207016e7729cb2ee6ea323c
- Realised P&L
- $-401.04
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $98.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No | 0.952 | 0.982 | $98.14 | +$2.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.82 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$272.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.70at 0.860Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$11.42at 0.958Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?
- +$7.48at 0.951Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?
- +$7.31at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?
- +$7.20at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 10:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $222.74 |
| 04-03 14:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $221.44 |
| 03-30 11:01 | Will Solana dip to $60 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $218.56 |
| 03-28 16:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.993 | $217.47 |
| 03-21 16:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | BUY | 0.993 | $215.48 |
| 03-20 11:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | BUY | 0.994 | $214.70 |
| 03-19 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 03-16 11:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.79 |
| 03-14 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.79 |
| 03-13 08:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.985 | $206.83 |
| 03-12 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.996 | $206.17 |