kaludjer
0x5e8aec3ea32fb17b7269d48d7b73d4c582d411d3
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar31.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.290Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$-1.50at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 18:26 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:39 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.2278393333 | $102.53 |
| 10-28 17:34 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.7876370874 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 08:32 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.0767968053 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 08:31 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1649999744 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 08:31 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9379999957 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 08:27 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | SELL | 0.0058901273 | $1.52 |
| 10-27 08:26 | Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.0104860773 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 08:26 | Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.988 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 08:25 | Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.9827451462 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 08:25 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.3652195572 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 08:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9609999874 | $50.00 |