0x5E89b1FB971384cFe96FF40Df0dAE5CAf66ecab7-1761655323560
0x5e89b1fb971384cfe96ff40df0dae5caf66ecab7
- Realised P&L
- $-224.55
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.017 | $1.65 | −$0.15 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.130 | $1.30 | −$0.40 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.30 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers · 76ers | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.23 |
| Kings vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.691 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.57 |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans · Clippers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.00 |
| Pacers vs. Knicks · Pacers | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.82 |
| Pistons vs. Thunder · Pistons | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.59 |
| Hawks vs. Nets · Nets | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.02 |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.41 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Grizzlies | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.05 |
| Suns vs. Magic · Suns | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.36 |
| Bulls vs. Grizzlies · Bulls | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.00 |
| Heat vs. Hornets · Heat | 0.441 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.05at 0.539Hawks vs. Cavaliers
- +$241.46at 0.57876ers vs. Rockets
- +$229.24at 0.560Magic vs. Raptors
- +$170.00at 0.660Nuggets vs. Suns
- +$155.06at 0.399Cavaliers vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 08:09 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-25 10:06 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | SELL | 0.938 | $9.38 |
| 08-25 10:06 | US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 07-23 09:00 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | BUY | 0.948 | $9.48 |
| 07-23 08:42 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 07-23 08:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 06-23 10:12 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 06:00 | Heat vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.34 | $163.27 |
| 04-09 09:32 | 76ers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.62 | $179.94 |
| 04-08 09:58 | Hawks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.53 | $143.19 |
| 04-07 07:41 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.14 | $6.64 |
| 04-06 09:18 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.61 | $119.15 |
| 04-03 07:24 | Hawks vs. Nets | BUY | 0.08 | $37.79 |
| 04-02 07:54 | Spurs vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.39 | $150.29 |
| 04-01 09:56 | Kings vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.87 | $172.64 |