PolyBot

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Traders

Kirill1975

0x5e89ac6c354fd460a30e81f22d80278a57aa9f91

Realised P&L
$93.63
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? · No0.9260.910$491.42−$8.58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.635$484.97−$11.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.957$103.97+$3.97
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.8000.780$97.50−$2.50
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 13:13Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6499999996$496.43
10-03 07:15Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9258868401$500.00
09-24 20:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.92$100.00
09-18 21:01Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$100.00
09-10 20:25Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.292368125$49.38
09-09 16:13Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2960116708$50.00
09-09 07:27Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?BUY0.2063073777$10.00
09-09 07:25Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
08-22 11:43Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?BUY0.9299999998$199.00
08-13 09:14Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9269999888$83.00
08-13 09:13Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.926999998$300.00
08-13 09:12Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9269999994$500.00
08-13 09:11Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9269999951$90.00
08-13 09:09Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9269999448$10.00
08-11 16:19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6699999839$10.00