PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5e890e74a4c08d47667bf316fb25b94f20b61d78

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$25.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$16.50−$93.50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3500.235$6.71−$3.29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.045$2.50−$2.50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? · Up0.0220.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 13:00Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
10-27 13:00Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-27 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-27 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-24 21:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-24 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.73$38.97
07-24 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6599999974$25.00
07-24 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6599999604$5.00
07-24 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-24 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.83$10.91
07-24 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-24 20:55Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$1.00
07-24 15:41WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
06-17 21:29Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
06-17 21:29Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.149999976$5.00