PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5E890E74A4C08d47667Bf316fb25b94f20B61D78-1768692261674

0x5e890e74a4c08d47667bf316fb25b94f20b61d78

Realised P&L
$-122.26
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$16.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$16.50$93.50
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.002$0.40$0.60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00$8.00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$25.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? · Up0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.0240.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 21:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-24 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.73$38.97
07-24 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6599999974$25.00
07-24 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6599999604$5.00
07-24 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-24 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.83$10.91
07-24 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-24 20:55Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$1.00
07-24 15:41WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
06-17 21:29Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
06-17 21:29Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.149999976$5.00
06-17 21:22Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.0242057606$10.00
06-15 06:35Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?SELL0.39$9.75
06-14 22:33Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?BUY0.4$10.00
06-14 22:31US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.2099999798$8.00