0x5E890E74A4C08d47667Bf316fb25b94f20B61D78-1768692261674
0x5e890e74a4c08d47667bf316fb25b94f20b61d78
- Realised P&L
- $-122.26
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $16.50 | −$93.50 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? · Up | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.45at 0.227Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$13.60at 0.420Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
- +$8.82at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$7.11at 0.417Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$5.58at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $38.97 |
| 07-24 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999974 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 21:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $10.91 |
| 07-24 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 20:55 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 15:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 21:29 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 21:29 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 21:22 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.0242057606 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 06:35 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 06-14 22:33 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 22:31 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.2099999798 | $8.00 |