pm-hk
0x5e7dfdd0ad23093ea97307eee9b61cfbcbb7ca41
- Realised P&L
- $-16.6k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 691
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded691
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.215 | $1.5k | −$105.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? · No | 0.380 | 0.365 | $219.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.20at 0.270Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$66.09at 0.463DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
- +$60.00at 0.480South Florida vs. Bowling Green: O/U 48.5
- +$40.80at 0.320Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$31.50at 0.560Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:20 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $384.00 |
| 09-30 17:25 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $987.50 |
| 09-30 13:20 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $342.07 |
| 09-30 13:20 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.598 | $96.92 |
| 09-30 13:19 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $26.27 |
| 09-30 09:49 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $28.55 |
| 09-30 04:34 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $26.74 |
| 09-29 23:48 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $342.00 |
| 09-29 15:09 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.648 | $11.02 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.67 | $39.63 |
| 09-28 13:40 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $22.53 |
| 09-27 21:40 | Spread: Rams (-1.5) | SELL | 0.48 | $2.9k |
| 09-27 19:20 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $804.10 |
| 09-27 15:30 | Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 | SELL | 0.49 | $2.3k |
| 09-27 14:51 | Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $526.50 |