PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pm-hk

0x5e7dfdd0ad23093ea97307eee9b61cfbcbb7ca41

Realised P&L
$-16.6k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
691
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded691
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.215$1.5k−$105.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? · No0.3800.365$219.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:20Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.64$384.00
09-30 17:25Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.79$987.50
09-30 13:20Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.27$342.07
09-30 13:20Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.598$96.92
09-30 13:19U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.04$26.27
09-30 09:49U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.05$28.55
09-30 04:34Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$26.74
09-29 23:48Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.38$342.00
09-29 15:09Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.648$11.02
09-29 06:19Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.67$39.63
09-28 13:40AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?SELL0.16$22.53
09-27 21:40Spread: Rams (-1.5)SELL0.48$2.9k
09-27 19:20Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.85$804.10
09-27 15:30Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5SELL0.49$2.3k
09-27 14:51Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5SELL0.5$526.50