Claudie32
0x5e7c20accc28baa594105ca167fda8bb2eb00943
- Realised P&L
- $-164.20
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.140 | $0.20 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.22at 0.610Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
- +$5.47at 0.220Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$4.88at 0.480Blue Jackets vs. Kraken
- +$4.60at 0.270Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?
- +$4.17at 0.300Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.34 |
| 10-09 22:58 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.34 |
| 10-04 10:03 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 09-26 09:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.733 | $15.39 |
| 09-25 18:08 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.09 |
| 09-20 16:21 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.26 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-13 01:45 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $6.05 |
| 09-12 11:52 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.66 |
| 09-11 09:06 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.72 | $6.09 |
| 09-08 14:29 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.26 |
| 09-07 13:54 | Will Trump praise Dana White in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.86 |
| 09-01 15:02 | Will Trump praise Dana White in September? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-28 12:52 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.53 |