0x5e79f7ef36d3422ff780502764fa5f028f8d1779
0x5e79f7ef36d3422ff780502764fa5f028f8d1779
- Realised P&L
- $18.15
- Volume
- $295.24
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.485 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.710 | 0.815 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.265 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.560 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$3.60at 0.602Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.787Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.450Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$1.92at 0.452Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:03 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:02 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:02 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:00 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:36 | Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 00:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699997968 | $3.41 |
| 08-15 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998053 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 07-31 05:16 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-30 18:35 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.30 |
| 07-29 02:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5899999668 | $2.13 |
| 07-28 17:10 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.54 |
| 07-26 12:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999803 | $1.95 |
| 07-25 12:36 | Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7099999964 | $1.98 |