wong98225
0x5e790d5881eabdeebc39454b88b67b9486c858d9
- Realised P&L
- $-46.35
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $473.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.615 | $325.95 | +$39.41 |
| Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.375 | $147.75 | −$28.61 |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.09 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.62at 0.420Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$10.21at 0.470Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$2.31at 0.520Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?
- +$2.20at 0.520Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9?
- +$-8.55at 0.400Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 11:03 | Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $41.51 |
| 09-07 10:48 | Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5784421171 | $92.79 |
| 12-18 05:16 | VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 12-09 10:37 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 12-09 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 12-09 06:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 12-08 15:21 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 12-04 09:26 | Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | SELL | 0.058 | $1.45 |
| 12-02 14:46 | Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 12:59 | Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.09 |
| 12-01 12:57 | Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 11-27 06:53 | Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 11-25 04:57 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.71 | $30.21 |
| 11-24 11:25 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 11-23 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.31 |