Carloscd1981
0x5e784da10cf6f9b798b76b4059acdb4cf4944ed9
- Realised P&L
- $2.95
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $39.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $9.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $9.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.735 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.465 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.71at 0.371Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
- +$7.94at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$7.18at 0.779Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
- +$6.29at 0.646Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$6.20at 0.622Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:49 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 21:48 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 21:46 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 21:44 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 19:06 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 19:05 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.87 |
| 09-19 19:05 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.24 |
| 09-19 16:00 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:57 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.24 |
| 09-18 21:21 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 21:20 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 00:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 15:56 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |