hopiumaddict
0x5e740c05e7809a34553f65a703808ba57ebb2eac
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 24? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.89 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 21? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.048Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?
- +$-2.36at 0.002Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?
- +$-3.20at 0.001Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 13?
- +$-7.41at 0.003Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 17?
- +$-10.70at 0.003Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0209215258 | $97.89 |
| 08-24 14:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 24? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $91.89 |
| 08-19 15:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.0469999742 | $1.65 |
| 08-19 15:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.0453597105 | $91.68 |
| 08-18 20:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $46.99 |
| 08-18 17:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? | SELL | 0.0222806239 | $12.14 |
| 08-18 14:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.0159266055 | $8.68 |
| 08-18 14:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 06:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 17? | BUY | 0.0059380653 | $4.79 |
| 08-17 06:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 17? | BUY | 0.0013465306 | $2.14 |
| 08-17 06:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 08-17 03:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.41 |
| 08-17 03:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.23 |
| 08-13 13:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13? | BUY | 0.0019825251 | $2.21 |