0x5e74089495d1f5b0557724264b18f93ec4a03bbc
- Realised P&L
- $2.13
- Volume
- $61.00
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.685 | $2.06 | +$0.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.370 | $1.85 | +$0.65 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.265 | $1.59 | +$0.39 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.125 | $1.38 | +$0.27 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.265 | $1.32 | −$0.07 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.055 | $1.32 | +$0.22 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.160 | 0.150 | $1.05 | −$0.07 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 15:01 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.68 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.10 |
| 07-31 11:00 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 07-31 10:59 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |