0x5E6CBe3c916f9c734D364A534b7D5d1292b9120D-1779359707300
0x5e6cbe3c916f9c734d364a534b7d5d1292b9120d
- Realised P&L
- $-18.04
- Volume
- $222.85
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $33.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.495 | $31.27 | +$0.35 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.035 | $2.21 | −$8.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.02at 0.959Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
- +$-10.01at 0.271Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 12:52 | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.38 |
| 06-01 18:31 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.4947947591 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 18:17 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.92 |
| 05-28 17:43 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.959 | $10.01 |
| 05-22 22:25 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1769999886 | $11.00 |
| 05-21 11:43 | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.2609308102 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 11:42 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.9571003236 | $10.00 |