GonTanaka2
0x5e67fa734467c5811f99abf45acbe8ae430377ad
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $392.5k
- Markets traded
- 452
- Open portfolio
- $11.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded452
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.824 | 0.972 | $7.2k | +$1.1k |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · No | 0.928 | 0.953 | $1.1k | +$29.21 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.906 | 0.945 | $1.0k | +$43.25 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.840 | $1.0k | +$210.10 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.845 | 0.895 | $1.0k | +$57.14 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.912 | 0.978 | $258.06 | +$17.22 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.945 | 0.991 | $20.80 | +$0.96 |
| Elon Bull Run Combo · Yes | 0.148 | 0.056 | $3.07 | −$5.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.500Will Trump say "Thank you" or "Please" 13+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?
- +$405.10at 0.728Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
- +$366.03at 0.442Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
- +$336.20at 0.537Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?
- +$311.84at 0.480Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 14:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $404.80 |
| 08-12 14:54 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $437.00 |
| 07-22 13:40 | Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.07 |
| 06-16 18:05 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $104.39 |
| 06-16 18:03 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $30.34 |
| 06-16 18:02 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.756 | $30.24 |
| 06-16 18:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.83 | $29.05 |
| 06-16 17:59 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.925 | $30.53 |
| 06-16 17:58 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $30.69 |
| 06-04 19:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.82 | $30.34 |
| 06-01 22:13 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $140.76 |
| 06-01 22:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.82 | $131.20 |
| 05-25 07:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.81 | $29.97 |
| 05-25 07:40 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $15.30 |
| 05-23 07:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.81 | $119.07 |