kisnaxd
0x5e6598c4178864f8571327cf397e9cf8511a5366
- Realised P&L
- $-7.50
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 652
- Open portfolio
- $79.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded652
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.490 | $41.64 | +$34.34 |
| Will Jinggg leave Paper Rex in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.935 | $14.96 | +$10.96 |
| Will Paper Rex keep both f0rsakeN and Jinggg for 2027? · No | 0.460 | 0.995 | $12.97 | +$6.97 |
| Will Alfajer play for Gentle Mates in 2027? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.920 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027? · No | 0.536 | 0.702 | $3.27 | +$0.77 |
| Will Asuna play for 100 Thieves in 2027? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.650 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Up | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.14at 0.300Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in November?
- +$4.70at 0.370Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$3.84at 0.390Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
- +$3.82at 0.572Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?
- +$3.35at 0.747Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 09:04 | Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027? | BUY | 0.0859999999 | $7.30 |
| 10-25 08:58 | Will Paper Rex keep both f0rsakeN and Jinggg for 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999739 | $6.00 |
| 10-24 22:38 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $8.68 |
| 10-24 21:07 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.92 | $8.00 |
| 10-24 21:06 | Will Alfajer play for Gentle Mates in 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 21:04 | Will Asuna play for 100 Thieves in 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 17:43 | Will Jinggg leave Paper Rex in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 12:36 | Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:35 | Will Primmie leave FULL SENSE in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999741 | $2.70 |
| 10-22 18:31 | Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027? | BUY | 0.5359999125 | $2.50 |
| 01-12 07:27 | Solana Up or Down - January 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.79 |
| 01-12 07:10 | XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.969999998 | $9.80 |
| 01-12 07:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.969999998 | $9.80 |
| 01-12 06:40 | Solana Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 01-12 06:38 | XRP Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |