Cristian.C
0x5e626916938833e6762334e337d1fa6a8bbf4e03
- Realised P&L
- $43.80
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $26.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.006 | $26.99 | −$481.28 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.07at 0.160Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$144.07at 0.294Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$130.29at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$52.45at 0.195Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.98at 0.057Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:27 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1105115522 | $465.97 |
| 07-19 16:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $191.88 |
| 07-19 16:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.412 | $114.44 |
| 07-11 22:09 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3299999959 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 21:40 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 21:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.998 | $332.66 |
| 07-05 21:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 06:47 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.1021020929 | $90.01 |
| 03-25 13:15 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.15 | $42.30 |
| 03-25 10:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999982 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 10:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1539999977 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 10:19 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0567178955 | $50.00 |
| 01-03 21:50 | Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | SELL | 0.694 | $249.85 |
| 01-03 21:45 | Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $7.74 |
| 11-25 22:56 | Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BUY | 0.2938197292 | $105.78 |