0x5e60677cc5db586c1fe3227465133b2a430b3b28
0x5e60677cc5db586c1fe3227465133b2a430b3b28
- Realised P&L
- $15.20
- Volume
- $162.92
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $56.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan vs. Minnesota · Michigan | 0.500 | 0.665 | $19.56 | +$4.85 |
| Penn State vs. Northwestern · Penn State | 0.500 | 0.565 | $19.15 | +$2.20 |
| Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Mississippi State | 0.500 | 0.335 | $18.10 | −$8.91 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Saquon Barkley: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.03 |
| Rams vs. Broncos · Rams | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.52 |
| Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.84at 0.380Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown
- +$13.16at 0.500Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$11.72at 0.500Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$7.89at 0.700Ravens vs. Cowboys
- +$5.83at 0.500Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 00:05 | Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3799999943 | $14.61 |
| 09-28 00:15 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5099999933 | $24.52 |
| 09-27 22:13 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.7 | $18.42 |
| 09-27 20:35 | Chargers vs. Bills | SELL | 0.999 | $6.15 |
| 09-27 20:34 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | SELL | 0.999 | $11.66 |
| 09-27 18:41 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $5.80 |